Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Albufeira
Mozambique2 - 3Nigeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-2 Nigeria
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Mozambique 0-3 Nigeria
Nigeria have a solid record against Mozambique and are firm favourites to come out on top, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides. While we expect Mozambique to put up a fight, we fancy the Super Eagles to pick up the desired result once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Nigeria |
29.7% ( 0.02) | 28.56% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
