Portugal have an embarrassment of riches all over the park, and we are expecting them to have too much for Finland on Tuesday evening, with Ronaldo potentially on the scoresheet in a comfortable success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Finland win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Finland
66.15% ( -2.38)	18.84% ( 0.91)	15.01% ( 1.47)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38% (

-1)

37.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.14% (

-1.08)

59.85% (

1.08)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.42% (

-0.86)

10.58% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.65% (

-1.97)

34.35% (

1.97)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

1.39)

37.83% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

1.32)

74.6% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Portugal 66.14%

Finland 15.01%

Draw 18.85%

Portugal	Draw	Finland
2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.14%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.85%	1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.01%