MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:44:53| >> :60:1650:1650:
Portugal national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Finland national football team

Portugal
4 - 2
Finland

Dias (17'), Jota (45+4' pen.), Fernandes (56', 84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pukki (72', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Portugal and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Finland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Finland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Finland 2-1 Estonia
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Portugal 3-0 Finland

 Portugal have an embarrassment of riches all over the park, and we are expecting them to have too much for Finland on Tuesday evening, with Ronaldo potentially on the scoresheet in a comfortable success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Finland win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawFinland
66.15% (-2.384 -2.38) 18.84% (0.909 0.91) 15.01% (1.474 1.47)
Both teams to score 55.59% (0.718 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (-1 -1)37.62% (1 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (-1.08 -1.08)59.85% (1.08 1.08)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)10.58% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.65% (-1.965 -1.97)34.35% (1.966 1.97)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (1.388 1.39)37.83% (-1.387 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (1.324 1.32)74.6% (-1.322 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 66.14%
    Finland 15.01%
    Draw 18.85%
PortugalDrawFinland
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.486 -0.49)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-1 @ 4.13% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.279 -0.28)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.421 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.233 0.23)
0-0 @ 4% (0.19 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.85%
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.354 0.35)
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.322 0.32)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 15.01%

How you voted: Portugal vs Finland

Portugal
92.8%
Draw
4.2%
Finland
3.0%
166
rhs 2.0
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