Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Portugal
3 - 2
Slovakia

Ramos (18'), Ronaldo (29' pen., 72')
Fernandes (57'), Palhinha (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hancko (69'), Lobotka (80')
Pekarik (31'), Duda (61'), Suslov (85'), Hrosovsky (90+4'), Gyomber (90+4')

Cristiano Ronaldo determined to represent Portugal at Euro 2024

Al-Nassr forward Cristiano Ronaldo hopes that he will be able to represent Portugal at next summer's European Championship.

Oct 14, 13:10

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship qualifying clash between Portugal and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 9-0 Luxembourg
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	24	18
2	Slovakia	6	6	13
3	Luxembourg	6	-9	10
4	Iceland	6	1	6
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-4	6
6	Liechtenstein	6	-18	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 3-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	24	18
2	Slovakia	6	6	13
3	Luxembourg	6	-9	10
4	Iceland	6	1	6
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-4	6
6	Liechtenstein	6	-18	0

We said: Portugal 2-0 Slovakia

Slovakia are a national team to be respected, and they are more than capable of picking up a strong result on Friday evening. Portugal are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting Martinez's side to make it seven wins from seven in the section courtesy of a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Slovakia
56.93% ( -1.56)	24.28% ( 0.56)	18.78% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 46% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65% (

-0.73)

54.34% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27% (

-0.62)

75.73% (

0.62)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.86)

18.96% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

-1.45)

50.48% (

1.45)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76% (

0.77)

43.23% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

0.64)

79.49% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Portugal 56.93%

Slovakia 18.78%

Draw 24.28%

Portugal	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.78%