The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Slovenia and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Slovenia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 1-2 Portugal
Portugal will have fresh legs for this contest, but there will be some key players missing for Martinez's side. Slovenia struggled against Malta last time out, and we are predicting more frustration for the hosts here, as Portugal's quality should allow them to post a 12th straight victory under Martinez. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Portugal |
16.71% ( 0.07) | 21.86% ( 0.01) | 61.43% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
