MX23RW : Monday, November 25 05:57:50| >> :600:3667144:3667144:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Finland national football team

Slovenia
3 - 0
Finland

Sesko (16' pen., 28'), Janza (90+2')
Janza (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kallman (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Finland

All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-1 Denmark
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Slovenia 1-1 Finland

 With so much on the line, neither side is set to go all-guns-blazing on Saturday evening, when one point apiece would represent a decent result for either. Slovenia seem to have the tougher run-in, but even a draw should keep their destiny in their own hands, as Denmark or Kazakhstan play each other and at least one must drop points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawFinland
43.97% (2.354 2.35) 27.51% (-0.463 -0.46) 28.52% (-1.895 -1.9)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.389 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (0.93 0.93)58.08% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (0.725 0.73)78.75% (-0.72999999999999 -0.73)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (1.687 1.69)26.24% (-1.692 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (2.203 2.2)61.35% (-2.209 -2.21)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.963 -0.96)36.05% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.996 -1)72.84% (0.98899999999999 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 43.96%
    Finland 28.52%
    Draw 27.51%
SloveniaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.495 0.5)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.302 0.3)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.386 0.39)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.157 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.607 -0.61)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.452 -0.45)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Finland

Slovenia
42.5%
Draw
31.3%
Finland
26.3%
80
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Finland
2-0
Slovenia
Pohjanpalo (13'), Antman (64')
Niskanen (66')

Sporar (55')
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