Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Finland and Estonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Estonia |
66.71% ( 0.05) | 20.85% ( -0.02) | 12.43% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
