Uzbekistan are flying at the moment and will certainly take some stopping here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 78.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (12.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Hong Kong
78.39% ( -0.21)	15.24% ( 0.16)	6.37% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 35.36% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

-0.53)

46.73% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31% (

-0.5)

69% (

0.5)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08% (

-0.19)

9.92% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.15% (

-0.43)

32.85% (

0.44)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.26% (

-0.21)

60.74% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.97% (

-0.1)

91.02% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 78.37%

Hong Kong 6.37%

Draw 15.24%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Hong Kong
2-0 @ 16.08% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 78.37%	1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 15.24%	0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 1.63% Total : 6.37%