Uzbekistan are significantly better than Hong Kong and should win this tie without too many issues. The White Wolves have never lost to the Dragons in history and they are currently on a run of 12 matches without defeat in 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uzbekistan in this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Uzbekistan
10.87% ( -0.07)	19.43% ( -0.13)	69.69% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 41.45% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97% (

0.34)

50.03% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99% (

0.3)

72.01% (

-0.3)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.76% (

0.08)

52.23% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.84% (

0.05)

86.16% (

-0.05)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78% (

0.16)

13.22% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.03% (

0.33)

39.97% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 10.87%

Uzbekistan 69.69%

Draw 19.43%

Hong Kong	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.87%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.43%	0-2 @ 14.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 69.69%