MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:16:07| >> :60:42:42:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

USA
3 - 0
Uzbekistan

Weah (4'), Pepi (90+1'), Pulisic (90+5' pen.)
Richards (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alidjanov (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-1 Venezuela
Tuesday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: USA 3-1 Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan do have quality throughout the pitch and should not be taken lightly, but USA will expect to pick up a relatively comfortable victory on home soil and we see them having too much for the White Wolves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawUzbekistan
48.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)54.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02)75.53% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4% (0.049999999999997 0.05)36.59% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.38% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    USA 48.8%
    Uzbekistan 25.27%
    Draw 25.92%
USADrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: USA vs Uzbekistan

USA
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
Uzbekistan
5.3%
38
rhs 2.0
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