Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.