MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 08:04:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 6am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Shiotani (18'), Kawamura (31'), Soteriou (51' pen.), Nakano (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tezuka (55'), Togashi (69'), Harada (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
62.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.83% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 16.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.088999999999999 0.09)43.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)66.03% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)13.36% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)40.25% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.071000000000005 0.07)39.5% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.066000000000003 0.07)76.19% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.55%
    Sagan Tosu 16.61%
    Draw 20.83%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 62.55%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.83%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.61%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Hiroshima
Soteriou (3'), Vieira (79')
Junior (45+2'), Kawamura (67')
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Hiroshima
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Vieira (75')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Hiroshima
Feb 19, 2022 5am
Gameweek 1
Hiroshima
0-0
Sagan Tosu
Jul 3, 2021 11am
Gameweek 21
Hiroshima
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Santos (62')
Sakai (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425
> J1 League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!