MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 01:44:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.40am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 1
Cerezo

Yamami (49' pen.)
Someno (61'), Taniguchi (80')
Yamada (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Although the visitors hold the superior defensive record and have generally been more consistent, Tokyo Verdy will fancy their chances of prevailing from this contest. While they may not necessarily have the most possession, we are backing the hosts to come through this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawCerezo Osaka
28.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 26.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 45.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)54.02% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)75.46% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)34.27% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.109 -0.11)70.97% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.7% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 28.03%
    Cerezo Osaka 45.62%
    Draw 26.34%
Tokyo VerdyDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.03%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 11.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo

Tokyo Verdy
60.9%
Draw
21.7%
Cerezo Osaka
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 7am
Gameweek 3
Cerezo
2-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kagawa (42'), Ceara (90+3' pen.)
Tanaka (79'), Funaki (85')
Kimura (53')
Inami (28')
Inami (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka32131183527850
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus33144154039146
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo32111293940-145
10Avispa Fukuoka331013102933-443
11Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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