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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 15, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
4 - 1
Tokyo Verdy

Kato (2'), Soteriou (47', 62'), Vieira (81')
Sasaki (32'), Nakano (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kimura (90+4')
Miki (22'), Yamada (45+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 5-3 Consadole
Sunday, June 2 at 5.05am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawTokyo Verdy
65.78% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01) 21.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 13.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (-0.012 -0.01)51.44% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.25% (0.012 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)14.86% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.8% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)43.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)84.08%
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65.78%
    Tokyo Verdy 13.13%
    Draw 21.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 13.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.28%
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 65.78%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 13.13%

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