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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
3 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Hayashi (51' og.), Peixoto (61'), Furukawa (90+5')
Matsubara (45+2'), Kanuma (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuhashi (9'), Kimura (63'), Arai (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Tokyo Verdy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy will be full of confidence after winning three of their previous four league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Jubilo Iwata side that has lost just one of their last four top-flight home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
50.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 50.37%
    Tokyo Verdy 24.44%
    Draw 25.18%
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy

Jubilo Iwata
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Tokyo Verdy
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 5am
Gameweek 12
Tokyo Verdy
3-2
Jubilo Iwata
Someno (35' pen.), Kimura (41', 90+9')
Miki (4'), Matsuhashi (64'), Yamami (76')
Peixoto (55'), Germain (66')
Nishikubo (58'), Furukawa (82'), Uemura (90+7'), Germain (90+13')
Graca (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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