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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
3 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Hayashi (51' og.), Peixoto (61'), Furukawa (90+5')
Matsubara (45+2'), Kanuma (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuhashi (9'), Kimura (63'), Arai (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Tokyo Verdy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy will be full of confidence after winning three of their previous four league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Jubilo Iwata side that has lost just one of their last four top-flight home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
50.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 50.37%
    Tokyo Verdy 24.44%
    Draw 25.18%
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy

Jubilo Iwata
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Tokyo Verdy
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 5am
Gameweek 12
Tokyo Verdy
3-2
Jubilo Iwata
Someno (35' pen.), Kimura (41', 90+9')
Miki (4'), Matsuhashi (64'), Yamami (76')
Peixoto (55'), Germain (66')
Nishikubo (58'), Furukawa (82'), Uemura (90+7'), Germain (90+13')
Graca (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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