KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax5 - 0Vitesse
We said: Ajax 3-0 Vitesse
Ajax have won their last seven games by a combined score of 28-1, highlighting their solidity at both ends of the pitch, and we cannot envisage any other outcome than a comfortable victory for them come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
| 69.52% | 15.4% | 15.07% |
| Both teams to score 70.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
