Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.