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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
55.98% | 22.07% | 21.95% |
Both teams to score 57.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% | 41.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% | 63.5% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% | 14.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.38% | 42.61% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% | 32.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% | 68.9% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.03% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |