La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria1 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 8 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico have been impressive on their travels this season, and we are expecting the capital outfit to triumph here. Almeria have actually won five of their eight home league games this term, which is the same as Real Madrid at Bernabeu, but we have a feeling that Atletico will secure all three points in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
17.8% ( -0) | 22.79% ( -0) | 59.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
