La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 0Elche
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Elche
Atletico have had their issues this season, and they lost to both Cadiz and Mallorca ahead of the break for the World Cup. Elche have really struggled during the 2022-23 campaign, though, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
73.09% ( -3.11) | 17.76% ( 1.51) | 9.15% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
