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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Atletico

Muriqi (16')
Baba (26'), Kang-in (36'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Grenier (90+3'), Valjent (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (15'), De Paul (34'), Correa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid

We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents. We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
25.97% (0.114 0.11) 27.56% (0.106 0.11) 46.47% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.47% (-0.291 -0.29)59.53% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (-0.226 -0.23)79.88% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)38.98% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)75.7% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.238 -0.24)25.65% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.325 -0.32)60.55% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 25.97%
    Atletico Madrid 46.47%
    Draw 27.55%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.47%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
15.6%
Draw
10.6%
Atletico Madrid
73.8%
141
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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