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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Atletico

Muriqi (16')
Baba (26'), Kang-in (36'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Grenier (90+3'), Valjent (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (15'), De Paul (34'), Correa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid

We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents. We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
25.97% (0.114 0.11) 27.56% (0.106 0.11) 46.47% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.47% (-0.291 -0.29)59.53% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (-0.226 -0.23)79.88% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)38.98% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)75.7% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.238 -0.24)25.65% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.325 -0.32)60.55% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 25.97%
    Atletico Madrid 46.47%
    Draw 27.55%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.47%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
15.6%
Draw
10.6%
Atletico Madrid
73.8%
141
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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