Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.67% ( 3.17) | 24.41% ( -0.09) | 27.92% ( -3.08) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( -1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( -1.27) | 46.05% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -1.21) | 68.35% ( 1.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 0.83) | 19.41% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.77% ( 1.35) | 51.23% ( -1.35) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -2.77) | 30.17% ( 2.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( -3.45) | 66.33% ( 3.45) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |