La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 2
Sevilla

Embarba (38'), Milovanovic (90+5')
Lopy (84'), Gonzalez (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukebakio (81'), Ocampos (86')
Bade (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides will be missing some important players on Monday evening, and we are expecting it to be a tight match in terms of the scoreline. Sevilla are in good form, though, and the visitors should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Sevilla
35.5% ( 0.44)	26.9% ( 0.19)	37.6% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.02% (

-0.72)

53.97% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58% (

-0.61)

75.42% (

0.61)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

-0.08)

29.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

-0.1)

64.97% (

0.1)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.7)

27.8% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-0.9)

63.39% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Almeria 35.5%

Sevilla 37.6%

Draw 26.9%

Almeria	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.5%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.6%