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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Atletico Madrid logo

Almeria
2 - 2
Atletico

Romero (27', 64')
Embarba (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Correa (2'), De Paul (57')
Mandava (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almeria 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Almeria are certainly capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, especially as they held Athletic to a goalless draw in their last match on home soil. Atletico will also be without their star player in Griezmann, but we believe that Simeone's side will still have enough quality to secure an important three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
AlmeriaDrawAtletico Madrid
28.89% (-0.116 -0.12) 25.31% (0.0040000000000013 0) 45.8% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)49.35% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)71.4% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.123 -0.12)31.17% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.145 -0.15)67.51% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (0.021999999999991 0.02)21.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.62% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 28.89%
    Atletico Madrid 45.79%
    Draw 25.3%
AlmeriaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.89%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Almeria vs Atletico

Almeria
6.8%
Draw
12.2%
Atletico Madrid
81.0%
147
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
2-1
Almeria
Morata (17'), Correa (22')
Koke (90+1')
Baptistao (62')
Apr 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico
2-1
Almeria
Griezmann (5', 43')
Baptistao (37')
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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