Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 27.31% ( -0.02) | 40.84% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% ( 0.08) | 56.17% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% ( 0.07) | 77.23% ( -0.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( 0.04) | 32.56% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.04) | 69.09% ( -0.04) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.62% ( 0.07) | 62.38% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |