Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 27.31% ( -0.02) | 40.84% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% ( 0.08) | 56.17% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% ( 0.07) | 77.23% ( -0.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( 0.04) | 32.56% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.04) | 69.09% ( -0.04) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.62% ( 0.07) | 62.38% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |