Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
75.29% (![]() | 17.3% (![]() | 7.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 34.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% (![]() | 51.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% (![]() | 73.3% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% (![]() | 12.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.48% (![]() | 37.52% (![]() |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
39.13% (![]() | 60.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.91% (![]() | 91.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 16.42% (![]() 1-0 @ 15.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 11.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 75.29% | 1-1 @ 7.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.31% | 0-1 @ 3.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 7.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |