Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
69.3% ( -0.87) | 19.89% ( 0.24) | 10.81% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 39.96% ( 1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% ( 0.66) | 51.97% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% ( 0.57) | 73.71% ( -0.56) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( -0.06) | 13.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.59% ( -0.12) | 41.4% ( 0.12) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.43% ( 1.66) | 53.57% ( -1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.99% ( 1.01) | 87.01% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.89% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |