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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Mallorca

De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nastasic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Mallorca

Mallorca come into the fixture with confidence having won consecutive games, and their fine record versus Atletico should give encouragement. Atletico will be the favourites but they have flattered to deceive on many occasions this season, and with the season winding down without much to play for, this could be an awkward tie for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
69.3% (-0.872 -0.87) 19.89% (0.237 0.24) 10.81% (0.638 0.64)
Both teams to score 39.96% (1.397 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.661 0.66)51.97% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.568 0.57)73.71% (-0.565 -0.56)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)13.94% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59% (-0.117 -0.12)41.4% (0.118 0.12)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.43% (1.656 1.66)53.57% (-1.655 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.99% (1.009 1.01)87.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.29%
    Mallorca 10.81%
    Draw 19.89%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 14.49% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.175 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 69.29%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
83.2%
Draw
12.4%
Mallorca
4.4%
113
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (16')

Molina (15')
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
gameweek 6
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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