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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Mallorca

De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nastasic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Mallorca

Mallorca come into the fixture with confidence having won consecutive games, and their fine record versus Atletico should give encouragement. Atletico will be the favourites but they have flattered to deceive on many occasions this season, and with the season winding down without much to play for, this could be an awkward tie for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
69.3% (-0.872 -0.87) 19.89% (0.237 0.24) 10.81% (0.638 0.64)
Both teams to score 39.96% (1.397 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.661 0.66)51.97% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.568 0.57)73.71% (-0.565 -0.56)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)13.94% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59% (-0.117 -0.12)41.4% (0.118 0.12)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.43% (1.656 1.66)53.57% (-1.655 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.99% (1.009 1.01)87.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.29%
    Mallorca 10.81%
    Draw 19.89%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 14.49% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.175 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 69.29%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
83.2%
Draw
12.4%
Mallorca
4.4%
113
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (16')

Molina (15')
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
gameweek 6
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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