Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
22.84% (![]() | 24.24% (![]() | 52.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% (![]() | 49.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% (![]() | 71.58% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% (![]() | 36.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.95% (![]() | 73.05% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% (![]() | 18.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.84% | 1-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 11.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |