Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
42.65% (![]() | 28.35% (![]() | 29.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.22% (![]() | 60.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.17% (![]() | 80.82% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% (![]() | 28.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% (![]() | 63.91% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% (![]() | 37.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% (![]() | 73.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 13.25% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 10.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |