We said: Barcelona 3-1 Granada
Barcelona simply need to keep winning in La Liga and see where it takes them, especially as at least one of the top two will drop points on Saturday. Granada are better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Sunday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Granada win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.