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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Sevilla logo

Granada
0 - 3
Sevilla


Gumbau (38'), Torrente (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pedrosa (23'), Ocampos (32'), Ramos (49')
Bueno (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-1 Sevilla

 This is such a difficult match to call, as both sides have had very tough campaigns to date. Sevilla are in crisis mode, but Granada have only won once in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them, which has led to us predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawSevilla
30.55% (-0.126 -0.13) 25.25% (0.058 0.06) 44.2% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.304 -0.3)48.31% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.278 -0.28)70.45% (0.277 0.28)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.241 -0.24)29.46% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.293 -0.29)65.47% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)21.84% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)55.07% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.55%
    Sevilla 44.2%
    Draw 25.25%
GranadaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.047 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Granada vs Sevilla

Granada
21.3%
Draw
27.9%
Sevilla
50.8%
61
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sevilla
4-2
Granada
Carlos (32'), Ocampos (66'), Mir (90+3'), Papu (90+9')
Jordan (57'), Mir (78')
Machis (23'), Diaz (88')
Brice Eteki (42'), Suarez Charris (76')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Rochina (25')
Gonalons (28'), Quini (75'), Suarez Charris (90+1')

Carlos (73'), Acuna (75'), Ocampos (90+3')
Carlos (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-1
Granada
Rakitic (16' pen.), Ocampos (53'), Soldado (90' pen.)
Kenedy (34'), Puertas (67'), Montoro (87'), Acuna (90'), Kounde (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 6
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Herrera (82')
Gonalons (30'), Foulquier (40'), Martinez Penas (65'), Puertas (71'), Vico (85')

Fernando (10'), Jordan (45+3'), Vazquez (90+1')
Jordan (45+4')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sevilla
2-0
Granada
De Jong (11'), Nolito (34')
Vazquez (13'), Carlos (14'), Fernando (25'), Gomez (82')

Puertas (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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