Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.19% ( 0.78) | 24.93% ( 0.18) | 45.87% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.34) | 47.58% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.32) | 69.79% ( 0.32) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( 0.46) | 66.17% ( -0.46) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( -0.56) | 20.79% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.88) | 53.44% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |