We said: Barcelona 3-1 Villarreal
This has the potential to be a tricky match for Barcelona despite Villarreal's troubles. Both teams will be missing a number of important players, which makes it an intriguing contest, but we are expecting the reigning La Liga champions to have enough quality to secure all three points on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.