Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
43.15% (![]() | 26.93% (![]() | 29.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.62% (![]() | 55.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% (![]() | 76.58% (![]() |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% (![]() | 25.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% | 60.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% (![]() | 70.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |