Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
26.8% ( 0.36) | 26.19% ( 0.15) | 47% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.33) | 54.11% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0.27) | 75.53% ( 0.27) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% ( 0.12) | 35.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( 0.13) | 72.05% ( -0.13) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.37) | 23.01% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% ( -0.54) | 56.81% ( 0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.8% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |