Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
58.27% ( -0.18) | 22.36% ( 0.09) | 19.37% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( -0.29) | 45.85% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( -0.27) | 68.16% ( 0.27) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% ( -0.16) | 15.43% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.73% ( -0.29) | 44.26% ( 0.29) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( -0.08) | 37.64% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( -0.08) | 74.41% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |