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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (49' pen.), Douvikas (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dominguez (5' og.), Mari (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Girona
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia

With these two sides entering this contest in contrasting form, Celta will be backed to continue their strong run. Nevertheless, we are selecting Valencia to regain some confidence in their concluding fixture, even if it will not make up for the disappointment of missing out on Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
53.24% (0.434 0.43) 25.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.35% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)56.97% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)77.87% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.152 0.15)21.47% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.23 0.23)54.5% (-0.224 -0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (-0.418 -0.42)42.26% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (-0.363 -0.36)78.66% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 53.22%
    Valencia 21.04%
    Draw 25.72%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
45.8%
Draw
19.4%
Valencia
34.7%
72
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Valencia
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
De la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
Amallah (77'), Pepelu (87'), Guillamon (90+2')
Cervi (71'), Nunez (79')
May 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Seferovic (60')
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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