La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Celta Vigo2 - 1Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Osasuna
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic have won just two of their last eight away league games, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Celta side that has avoided defeat in each of their previous four home matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
39.57% ( -0.08) | 26.92% ( 0.16) | 33.51% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
