Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Girona |
31.18% (![]() | 27.31% (![]() | 41.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% (![]() | 56.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% (![]() | 77.38% (![]() |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% (![]() | 33.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% (![]() | 69.73% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% (![]() | 26.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% (![]() | 62.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 11.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |