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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Elche

Valladolid
2 - 1
Elche

Sanchez (40'), Mesa (46')
Sanchez (45'), Fernandez (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Josan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-1 Getafe
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 2-1 Elche

Things are becoming increasingly desperate for Elche, who have two games against recently-promoted sides to come before the World Cup break. Pacheta's side are riding a wave of home form at the moment though, and while we can see the struggling visitors scoring at the Jose Zorrilla on Saturday, we think that they will struggle to hold on for a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawElche
65.56% (0.061000000000007 0.06) 20.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 13.71% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.86% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (0.164 0.16)48.77% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.148 0.15)70.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33% (0.139 0.14)41.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)46.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8% (0.058 0.06)82.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 65.55%
    Elche 13.71%
    Draw 20.72%
Real ValladolidDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.71%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Elche

Real Valladolid
83.6%
Draw
13.7%
Elche
2.7%
73
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Elche
1-1
Valladolid
Fidel (22')
Milla (26'), Marcone (37'), Calvo (72'), Gonzalo (84'), Rigoni (90+2')
Olaza (86')
Kodro (12'), Fernandez (52'), Janko (67')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Michel (71'), Fernandez (89')
Fede (39')
Mesa (90+1')
Josan (9', 43')
Josema (51'), Cifu (85'), Milla (90+4')
Dec 18, 2014 7pm
Elche
1-0
Valladolid
Gonzalez (7')
Herrera (36'), Pelegrín (59'), Roco (76'), Suarez (87'), Tyton (90')

Sastre (36'), Timor (82'), Ramos (90'), Carmona (90')
Timor (90')
Dec 2, 2014 9pm
Feb 9, 2014 4pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Osorio (71', 78')
Rossi (68'), Rueda (89')
Corominas (34'), Del Moral (66')
Moreno Marquez (37'), Botia (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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