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Real Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
5 - 3
Atletico

Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid secure their spot in the final of the Spanish Super Cup courtesy of a 5-3 victory over Atletico Madrid in the Madrid derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Spanish Super Cup clash with rivals Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Lugo 1-3 Atletico
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (4.98%).

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
63.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 20.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 16.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)41.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.06%
    Atletico Madrid 16.03%
    Draw 20.9%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.57%
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 63.06%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid
76.3%
Draw
11.8%
Atletico Madrid
11.8%
228
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
3-1
Real Madrid
Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Morata (19')
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
1-2
Real Madrid
Hermoso (83')
Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Real Madrid
Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')
rhs 2.0
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