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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Alaves
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 0-2 Real Madrid

 Alaves boss Garcia is seeking major improvements from his side following their below-par performance against Girona last time out, but keeping a rampant Real Madrid outfit quiet on Thursday will be a tall order. Los Blancos, who will be motivated by the prospect of entering 2024 at the top of the table if they beat Alaves and Girona drop points at Real Betis, should have few problems claiming maximum points at Mendizorroza where they have had plenty of success in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
26.43% (0.354 0.35) 25.78% (0.0030000000000001 0) 47.79% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.73% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.226 0.23)52.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.193 0.19)74.39% (-0.193 -0.19)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.41499999999999 0.41)34.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.436 0.44)71.62% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)22.08% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)55.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 26.43%
    Real Madrid 47.78%
    Draw 25.78%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Real Madrid
89.2%
148
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011
> La Liga Full Table


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