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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Alaves
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 0-2 Real Madrid

 Alaves boss Garcia is seeking major improvements from his side following their below-par performance against Girona last time out, but keeping a rampant Real Madrid outfit quiet on Thursday will be a tall order. Los Blancos, who will be motivated by the prospect of entering 2024 at the top of the table if they beat Alaves and Girona drop points at Real Betis, should have few problems claiming maximum points at Mendizorroza where they have had plenty of success in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
26.43% (0.354 0.35) 25.78% (0.0030000000000001 0) 47.79% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.73% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.226 0.23)52.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.193 0.19)74.39% (-0.193 -0.19)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.41499999999999 0.41)34.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.436 0.44)71.62% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)22.08% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)55.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 26.43%
    Real Madrid 47.78%
    Draw 25.78%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Real Madrid
89.2%
148
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> Match Report
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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