La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 0Almeria
We said: Alaves 1-1 Almeria
These two teams are well-matched on paper, and we are expecting a tight match on Sunday. Almeria have lost their last four La Liga matches on the road, but we have a feeling that they will be good enough for a point this weekend, as Alaves have also had issues winning matches this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Almeria |
45.52% ( -0.63) | 25.83% ( 0.17) | 28.65% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
