Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
34.27% (![]() | 25.82% (![]() | 39.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% (![]() | 49.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% (![]() | 71.63% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% (![]() | 27.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% (![]() | 63.26% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% (![]() | 24.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% (![]() | 58.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.72% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 12.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |