Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
43.15% (![]() | 28.04% (![]() | 28.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.18% (![]() | 59.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.9% (![]() | 80.1% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% (![]() | 27.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.23% (![]() | 36.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% (![]() | 73.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 13.05% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |