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Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Real Madrid 3-0 Granada
Real Madrid have a number of injury problems at this moment in time, and Granada will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match. Los Blancos have not lost to Granada in Spain's top flight since February 2013, though, winning the last 14 La Liga matches between them, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable success for the division leaders this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Granada |
74.16% ( 0.17) | 16.47% ( 0.05) | 9.36% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -1.02) | 41.53% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -1.04) | 63.93% ( 1.04) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( -0.22) | 9.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.51) | 32.22% ( 0.51) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.2% ( -1.16) | 49.79% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.49% ( -0.82) | 84.51% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Granada |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 74.14% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.48% | 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 9.36% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Granada
