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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Granada logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Granada

Diaz (26'), Rodrygo (57')
Bellingham (22'), Rudiger (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (77')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Granada.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Granada.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Granada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Napoli
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-0 Granada

Real Madrid have a number of injury problems at this moment in time, and Granada will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match. Los Blancos have not lost to Granada in Spain's top flight since February 2013, though, winning the last 14 La Liga matches between them, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable success for the division leaders this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawGranada
74.16% (0.17 0.17) 16.47% (0.055 0.05) 9.36% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-1.019 -1.02)41.53% (1.016 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-1.038 -1.04)63.93% (1.038 1.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)9.65% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.78% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)32.22% (0.511 0.51)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.2% (-1.16 -1.16)49.79% (1.157 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49% (-0.82 -0.82)84.51% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 74.14%
    Granada 9.36%
    Draw 16.48%
Real MadridDrawGranada
2-0 @ 13.13% (0.35 0.35)
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.4 0.4)
3-0 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 9.36%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Granada

Real Madrid
92.1%
Draw
3.9%
Granada
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-0
Granada
Asensio (74')
Modric (69'), Asensio (75')

Sanchez (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Granada
1-4
Real Madrid
Suarez Charris (34')
Montoro (62')
Monchu (67'), Moreno (69')
Asensio (19'), Nacho (25'), Junior (56'), Mendy (76')
Isco (80')
May 13, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 36
Granada
1-4
Real Madrid
Molina (71')
Molina (41'), Brice Eteki (53'), Quina (72')
Modric (17'), Rodrygo (45+1'), Odriozola (75'), Benzema (76')
Militao (38'), Modric (49'), Nacho (63')
Dec 23, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
2-0
Granada
Casemiro (57'), Benzema (90+4')
Vazquez (17'), Carvajal (81')

Foulquier (27'), Martinez (45+2')
Jul 13, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona29213582285466
2Real Madrid29196462293363
3Atletico MadridAtletico29169447232457
4Athletic Bilbao291411446242253
5Villarreal28138751391247
6Real BetisBetis2913884036447
7Rayo Vallecano29101093331240
8Celta Vigo29117114242040
9Mallorca29117112835-740
10Real Sociedad29115132731-438
11Getafe2999112625136
12Sevilla2999113339-636
13GironaGirona2997133745-834
14Osasuna2971393342-934
15Valencia29710123246-1431
16Espanyol2878132740-1329
17AlavesAlaves2969143244-1227
18Leganes2969142846-1827
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2968153348-1526
20Real ValladolidValladolid2944211965-4616


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