La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 1Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 PSV
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal
This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides will enter it off the back of European assignments. Neither team have particularly impressed in the league this season, and with both missing some important players, we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
36.99% ( 2.1) | 24.78% ( 0.39) | 38.23% ( -2.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -1.58) | 44.63% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -1.54) | 67% ( 1.54) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 0.42) | 23.8% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.61) | 57.97% ( -0.61) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -1.92) | 23.15% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% ( -2.89) | 57.03% ( 2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
Sevilla 36.99%
Villarreal 38.23%
Draw 24.78%
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.23% |
How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal
Sevilla
23.3%Draw
30.2%Villarreal
46.5%43
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
Form Guide
