Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
49.89% ( 1.26) | 24.2% ( -0.25) | 25.91% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% ( 0.34) | 46.61% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( 0.32) | 68.88% ( -0.32) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( 0.64) | 18.73% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% ( 1.06) | 50.1% ( -1.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( -0.61) | 32.01% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( -0.7) | 68.48% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |