La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Las Palmas
Although Las Palmas are currently enjoying a four-game unbeaten run, they will go up against an Athletic side that tends to perform well on home turf. With that in mind, we think that Los Leones will make full use of home advantage to edge out Las Palmas and finish the calendar year with a victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Las Palmas |
48.62% ( 0.31) | 25.77% ( 0.29) | 25.6% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
