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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
San Mames Barria
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Sevilla

Garcia (17'), Muniain (19')
Ruiz de Galarreta (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Salas (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Sevilla

Athletic have proven to be a strong force at San Mames this season, but after drawing four of their last five home matches, we think that they could be held to another draw in their final home game of the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
61.73% (-0.85400000000001 -0.85) 21.81% (0.358 0.36) 16.46% (0.495 0.49)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-0.622 -0.62)48.1% (0.622 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-0.575 -0.57)70.27% (0.574 0.57)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (-0.477 -0.48)15.06% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43% (-0.911 -0.91)43.57% (0.91 0.91)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61% (0.269 0.27)42.38% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (0.23 0.23)78.77% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.72%
    Sevilla 16.46%
    Draw 21.81%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 61.72%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 16.46%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sevilla
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Sevilla
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')
Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')
Apr 27, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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