Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% (![]() | 24.89% (![]() | 39.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% (![]() | 45.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% (![]() | 67.63% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% (![]() | 22.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% (![]() | 56.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.07% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |