Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( 0.11) | 39.87% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.43) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.41) | 67.63% ( 0.4) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.13) | 59.75% ( -0.13) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.74) | 56.23% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |